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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Estepona 🟡 Draws Atlético Central 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Estepona

Date Match Score Res
24.10.2026 Estepona - Ciudad de Lucena 2 - 2 D
18.10.2026 Marbella - Estepona 0 - 0 D
11.10.2026 Estepona - Atlético Central 3 - 2 W
03.10.2026 Estepona - Don Benito 3 - 1 W
27.09.2026 Tenerife II - Estepona 2 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: Atlético Central

Date Match Score Res
25.10.2026 Atlético Central - Tamaraceite 1 - 0 W
18.10.2026 Don Benito - Atlético Central 4 - 2 L
11.10.2026 Estepona - Atlético Central 3 - 2 L
04.10.2026 Atlético Central - Linares Deportivo 0 - 1 L
27.09.2026 Atlético Central - Sevilla Atletico 2 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Estepona and Atlético Central is scheduled for 11.10.2026 17:00 in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Estepona are in position 8 with 7 points after 5 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLD. Atlético Central are in position 13 with 6 points after 5 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW.

Recent results

Estepona recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLDWDDWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atlético Central recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWDWWLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Estepona or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.59%, 24.16% and 16.25%. The model momentum difference is 43.34 points in favour of Estepona. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.20%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Estepona 0 / Atlético Central 0 supports Estepona by an average 3.33 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atlético Central away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 5 completed matches (20.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-10-11 16:03:12 · Locked: 2026-10-11 18:40:09

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Estepona and Atlético Central ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atlético Central away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Atlético Central received 0 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 1 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Estepona at 0. The stored market movement was 3.33 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-10-11 21:21:37
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