Match context

The upcoming match between Badajoz and Sanluqueño is scheduled for 18.10.2026 15:00 in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Badajoz are in position 4 with 11 points after 6 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLW. Sanluqueño are in position 12 with 7 points after 6 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLDW.

Recent results

Badajoz recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLWWDWDW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sanluqueño recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDWDDDLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Badajoz recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sanluqueño recorded 0 wins. The average total was 0 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Badajoz or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.00%, 26.20% and 19.80%. The model momentum difference is 34.20 points in favour of Badajoz. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Badajoz and Sanluqueño ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 2 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.