Match context

The upcoming match between Atletico Madrid W and Deportivo Alavés is scheduled for 06.09.2026 10:00 in Primera División Femenina. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Atletico Madrid W are in position 9 with 0 points. The stored form sequence is L. Deportivo Alavés are in position 5 with 3 points. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Atletico Madrid W recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLWWWWWW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Alavés recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses across the last 1 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is W. The averages are 2 goals scored and 0 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atletico Madrid W recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Deportivo Alavés recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.75 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Atletico Madrid W to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.09%, 17.09% and 12.82%. The model momentum difference is 57.28 points in favour of Atletico Madrid W. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.28%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Atletico Madrid W and Deportivo Alavés ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.75 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.