Match context

The upcoming match between Deportivo de La Coruña W and Real Madrid W is scheduled for 11.09.2026 18:45 in Primera División Femenina. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Deportivo de La Coruña W are in position 11 with 0 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is L. Real Madrid W are in position 6 with 3 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Deportivo de La Coruña W recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLDWLDLWL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid W recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWWWWDW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo de La Coruña W recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Real Madrid W recorded 5 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 83.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Real Madrid W to win with 72% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 11.21%, 17.08% and 71.72%. The model momentum difference is 60.51 points in favour of Real Madrid W. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.35%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Deportivo de La Coruña W 0 / Real Madrid W 0 supports Real Madrid W by an average 1.30 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Deportivo de La Coruña W and Real Madrid W ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 83.3%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Real Madrid W at 0. The stored market movement was 1.3 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.