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3
🏟
✔ Full Time
0
Ball possession
56%
44%
14
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
0
3
Shots off target
8
7
Corner kicks
3
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
3
Offsides
2
10
Shots inside the box
5
4
Shots outside the box
5
3
Blocked shots
2
0
Goalkeeper saves
5
11
Fouls
7
464
Accurate passes
380
555
Total passes
460
6
Free Kicks
11

🔁 Head-to-Head

4
3
0
🟢 Borussia Dortmund 🟡 Draws SC Paderborn 07 🔴
Date Match Score
02.02.2021 Borussia Dortmund - SC Paderborn 07 3 : 2
28.08.2020 Borussia Dortmund - SC Paderborn 07 1 : 1
31.05.2020 SC Paderborn 07 - Borussia Dortmund 1 : 6
22.11.2019 Borussia Dortmund - SC Paderborn 07 3 : 3
28.10.2015 Borussia Dortmund - SC Paderborn 07 7 : 1
18.04.2015 Borussia Dortmund - SC Paderborn 07 3 : 0
22.11.2014 SC Paderborn 07 - Borussia Dortmund 2 : 2

🗓 Latest Matches: Borussia Dortmund

Date Match Score Res
08.09.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal 3 - 2 W
05.09.2026 1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2 - 3 W
01.09.2026 HEBC - Borussia Dortmund 0 - 5 W
29.08.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV 2 - 0 W
22.08.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern München 1 - 2 L

📆 Latest Matches: SC Paderborn 07

Date Match Score Res
05.09.2026 SC Paderborn 07 - SC Freiburg 0 - 1 L
29.08.2026 FSV Mainz 05 - SC Paderborn 07 0 - 0 D
23.08.2026 Phönix Lübeck - SC Paderborn 07 2 - 4 W
08.08.2026 Werder Bremen - SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 D
01.08.2026 VfL Osnabrück - SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07 is scheduled for 12.09.2026 13:30 in Bundesliga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Borussia Dortmund are in position 3 with 6 points after 2 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WW. SC Paderborn 07 are in position 13 with 1 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 0 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is LD.

Recent results

Borussia Dortmund recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLDWLLW. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. SC Paderborn 07 recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDWWDWDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and SC Paderborn 07 recorded 0 wins. The average total was 5 goals per match. Both teams scored in 85.7% of those matches, while 85.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.90; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Borussia Dortmund to win with 77% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 77.14%, 13.45% and 9.41%. The model momentum difference is 67.73 points in favour of Borussia Dortmund. The input data quality score is 93/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.88%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.31% group success rate across 490 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Borussia Dortmund at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 2 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for SC Paderborn 07 away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 2 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-12 14:02:37 · Locked: 2026-09-12 15:10:06

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07 ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 10 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 5 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.9 total corners. The match recorded 10 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Borussia Dortmund at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Borussia Dortmund received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for SC Paderborn 07 away from home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, SC Paderborn 07 received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-12 18:02:39
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