Match context

The upcoming match between Cambrian & Clydach and Holywell is scheduled for 11.09.2026 18:45 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Cambrian & Clydach are in position 10 with 9 points after 7 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLWW. Holywell are in position 16 with 1 points after 7 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL.

Recent results

Cambrian & Clydach recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWWDLLWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Holywell recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLLLLLWL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 3.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Cambrian & Clydach to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.98%, 17.94% and 17.08%. The model momentum difference is 47.90 points in favour of Cambrian & Clydach. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.32%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Cambrian & Clydach +0.75 / Holywell -0.75 supports Cambrian & Clydach by an average 2.91 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 29, score 83/100, 82.69% group success rate across 491 observations). Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Cambrian & Clydach at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 3.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 7 completed matches (85.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Holywell away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 3.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 6 of 7 completed matches (85.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Cambrian & Clydach and Holywell ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cambrian & Clydach at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 3.5 total cards per match. In this game, Cambrian & Clydach received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 50%, and a red card in 50%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Holywell away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 3.33 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. In this game, Holywell received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Cambrian & Clydach at +0.75. The stored market movement was 2.91 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 29. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Odd HT goals. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.