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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Trefelin - Flint Town United | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17.10.2026 | Trefelin - Llantwit Major | 4 - 1 | W |
| 09.10.2026 | Cardiff MET - Trefelin | 1 - 3 | W |
| 03.10.2026 | Airbus UK - Trefelin | 3 - 0 | L |
| 26.09.2026 | Trefelin - The New Saints | 1 - 3 | L |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | The New Saints - Ammanford AFC | 9 - 0 | W |
| 16.10.2026 | Airbus UK - The New Saints | 1 - 2 | W |
| 09.10.2026 | Holywell - The New Saints | 1 - 6 | W |
| 03.10.2026 | The New Saints - Cambrian & Clydach | 9 - 0 | W |
| 26.09.2026 | Trefelin - The New Saints | 1 - 3 | W |
The upcoming match between Trefelin and The New Saints is scheduled for 26.09.2026 13:30 in Premier League. The listed venue is Ynys Park, Cwmafan. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Standings and season form
Trefelin are in position 13 with 3 points after 10 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 4 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDL. The New Saints are in position 1 with 28 points after 10 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW.
Trefelin recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLDLDLLLL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. The New Saints recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWWWWD. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as The New Saints to win with 90% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 3.24%, 6.27% and 90.48%. The model momentum difference is 87.24 points in favour of The New Saints. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.04 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.90%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even - First Half — Even (odds 1.82). At least one goal in the match (quota 34, score 80/100, 80.17% group success rate across 353 observations).
The discipline profile for Trefelin at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.40 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 40.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 10 completed matches (70.0% coverage). The discipline profile for The New Saints away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 10 completed matches (80.0% coverage).
The match between Trefelin and The New Saints ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.
Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Trefelin at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0.4 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Trefelin received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 40%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for The New Saints away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, The New Saints received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.
The stored Premium market was Even HT goals at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was Odd HT goals. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 34. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.
Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.