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🟢 The New Saints 🟡 Draws Ammanford AFC 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: The New Saints

Date Match Score Res
16.10.2026 Airbus UK - The New Saints 1 - 2 W
09.10.2026 Holywell - The New Saints 1 - 6 W
03.10.2026 The New Saints - Cambrian & Clydach 9 - 0 W
26.09.2026 Trefelin - The New Saints 1 - 3 W
19.09.2026 The New Saints - Llandudno 2 - 1 W

📆 Latest Matches: Ammanford AFC

Date Match Score Res
17.10.2026 FC Cwmaman - Ammanford AFC 2 - 4 W
09.10.2026 Cambrian & Clydach - Ammanford AFC 0 - 1 W
03.10.2026 Ammanford AFC - Holywell 2 - 1 W
26.09.2026 Flint Town United - Ammanford AFC 3 - 0 L
18.09.2026 Ammanford AFC - Penybont 1 - 5 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between The New Saints and Ammanford AFC is scheduled for 23.10.2026 18:45 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
The New Saints are in position 1 with 37 points after 13 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 44 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Ammanford AFC are in position 13 with 9 points after 13 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLD.

Recent results

The New Saints recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWWWWW. The averages are 3.80 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ammanford AFC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLLDLLLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as The New Saints to win with 94% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 94.45%, 4.19% and 1.36%. The model momentum difference is 93.10 points in favour of The New Saints. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.02 with William Hill. The stored estimated EV is -3.66%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 34, score 79/100, 79.15% group success rate across 398 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for The New Saints at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 13 completed matches (69.2% coverage). The discipline profile for Ammanford AFC away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.60 yellow cards, 0.60 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 13 completed matches (84.6% coverage).

Generated: 2026-10-23 17:30:05 · Locked: 2026-10-23 20:25:29

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between The New Saints and Ammanford AFC ended 9-0. The game produced 9 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 34. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-10-23 22:39:28
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