Match context

The upcoming match between Nizhny Novgorod and Shinnik Yaroslavl is scheduled for 02.08.2026 14:00 in First League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nizhny Novgorod are in position 1 with 9 points after 3 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWW. Shinnik Yaroslavl are in position 7 with 4 points after 3 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is WD.

Recent results

Nizhny Novgorod recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLWDLLLL. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Shinnik Yaroslavl recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDDDDWWDW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nizhny Novgorod recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Shinnik Yaroslavl recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Nizhny Novgorod or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.81%, 26.49% and 18.70%. The model momentum difference is 36.11 points in favour of Nizhny Novgorod. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -4.88%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nizhny Novgorod 0 / Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 supports Shinnik Yaroslavl by an average 1.24 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 16 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Nizhny Novgorod and Shinnik Yaroslavl ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Shinnik Yaroslavl at 0. The stored market movement was 1.24 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.