Match context

The upcoming match between Ska-khabarovsk and Torpedo Moskva is scheduled for 30.08.2026 05:00 in First League. The listed venue is Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Ska-khabarovsk are in position 17 with 3 points after 4 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. Torpedo Moskva are in position 6 with 13 points after 4 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 5 scored and 3 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLD.

Recent results

Ska-khabarovsk recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLLLLDLW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Torpedo Moskva recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLDWWWWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ska-khabarovsk recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Torpedo Moskva recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Torpedo Moskva (X2) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 17.02%, 24.74% and 58.23%. The model momentum difference is 41.21 points in favour of Torpedo Moskva. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -5.41%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Ska-khabarovsk 0 / Torpedo Moskva 0 supports Ska-khabarovsk by an average 3.06 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Ska-khabarovsk at home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 7 of 7 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Torpedo Moskva away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 2.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 7 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Ska-khabarovsk and Torpedo Moskva ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ska-khabarovsk at home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0.33 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Ska-khabarovsk received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 33.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Torpedo Moskva away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 2.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, Torpedo Moskva received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ska-khabarovsk at 0. The stored market movement was 3.06 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.