Match context

The upcoming match between Chelyabinsk and FC UFA is scheduled for 18.09.2026 14:00 in First League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Chelyabinsk are in position 15 with 8 points after 10 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDL. FC UFA are in position 7 with 17 points after 10 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWWD.

Recent results

Chelyabinsk recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLLDLLWLL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC UFA recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDWWDLDWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and FC UFA recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Chelyabinsk -0.75 / FC UFA +0.75 supports Chelyabinsk by an average 4.97 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 38 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Chelyabinsk at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 75.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 10 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FC UFA away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 10 completed matches (90.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Chelyabinsk and FC UFA ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.25 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Chelyabinsk at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Chelyabinsk received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC UFA away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, FC UFA received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Chelyabinsk at -0.75. The stored market movement was 4.97 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.