Match context

The upcoming match between FK Neftekhimik and Ural is scheduled for 18.09.2026 15:00 in First League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FK Neftekhimik are in position 12 with 12 points after 11 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWL. Ural are in position 6 with 19 points after 10 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 17 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWD.

Recent results

FK Neftekhimik recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLWLLLWL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Ural recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWDWWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, FK Neftekhimik recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Ural recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 25% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FK Neftekhimik 0 / Ural 0 supports Ural by an average 1.45 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 23 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.27, score 81/100, 80.65% bucket win rate across 93 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FK Neftekhimik at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 11 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Ural away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 75.0%, 50.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 10 completed matches (80.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FK Neftekhimik and Ural ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FK Neftekhimik at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.2 total cards per match. In this game, FK Neftekhimik received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Ural away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Ural received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Ural at 0. The stored market movement was 1.45 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.27. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.