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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Newtown AFC 🟡 Draws Denbigh Town 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Newtown AFC

Date Match Score Res
31.08.2026 Bala Town - Newtown AFC 0 - 1 W
28.08.2026 Newtown AFC - Llanuwchllyn 4 - 0 W
22.08.2026 Caersws - Newtown AFC -
15.08.2026 Newtown AFC - Guilsfield 1 - 1 D
08.08.2026 Newtown AFC - Penrhyncoch 5 - 0 W

📆 Latest Matches: Denbigh Town

Date Match Score Res
31.08.2026 Denbigh Town - Rhyl 1 - 3 L
28.08.2026 Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town 2 - 2 D
21.08.2026 Denbigh Town - Porthmadog 2 - 3 L
14.08.2026 Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town 2 - 1 L
08.08.2026 Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876 1 - 2 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Newtown AFC and Denbigh Town is scheduled for 05.09.2026 13:30 in FAW Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Newtown AFC recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWWWLLLL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Denbigh Town recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLWWLWD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Newtown AFC to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.19%, 19.90% and 17.91%. The model momentum difference is 44.28 points in favour of Newtown AFC. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.49).

Generated: 2026-09-05 14:02:28 · Locked: 2026-09-05 15:10:09

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Newtown AFC and Denbigh Town ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.49. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-05 17:42:17
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