Match context

The upcoming match between Penrhyncoch and Bangor 1876 is scheduled for 12.09.2026 13:30 in FAW Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Penrhyncoch recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLLWWWL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bangor 1876 recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWWLLWW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Bangor 1876 recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bangor 1876 to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 15.52%, 19.83% and 64.66%. The model momentum difference is 49.14 points in favour of Bangor 1876. The input data quality score is 84/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.78%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Penrhyncoch 0 / Bangor 1876 0 supports Bangor 1876 by an average 5.29 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Penrhyncoch and Bangor 1876 ended 1-5. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bangor 1876 at 0. The stored market movement was 5.29 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.