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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30.08.2026 | Leones Negros UDG - Piratas | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23.08.2026 | Piratas - Cancún | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15.08.2026 | CA La Paz - Piratas | 2 - 0 | L |
| 08.08.2026 | Durango - Piratas | 0 - 3 | W |
| 02.08.2026 | Piratas - Monarcas | 1 - 0 | W |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.08.2026 | Correcaminos Uat - Durango | 0 - 0 | D |
| 21.08.2026 | Monarcas - Correcaminos Uat | 1 - 3 | W |
| 15.08.2026 | Correcaminos Uat - Tapatío | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07.08.2026 | Leones Negros UDG - Correcaminos Uat | 1 - 3 | W |
| 01.08.2026 | Correcaminos Uat - Tepatitlán | 3 - 1 | W |
The upcoming match between Piratas and Correcaminos Uat is scheduled for 06.09.2026 01:00 in Liga de Expansión MX. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Standings and season form
Piratas are in position 8 with 8 points after 2 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWW. Correcaminos Uat are in position 4 with 11 points after 3 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWW.
Piratas recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 6 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWWD. The averages are 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 16.7% of those matches, while 16.7% finished with over 2.5 goals. Correcaminos Uat recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWWDDLLL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Piratas or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.14%, 23.66% and 17.20%. The model momentum difference is 41.94 points in favour of Piratas. The input data quality score is 89/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.27%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.78). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.23, score 81/100, 81.31% bucket win rate across 107 observations).
The discipline profile for Piratas at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 6 completed matches (66.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Correcaminos Uat away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 6 completed matches (50.0% coverage).
The match between Piratas and Correcaminos Uat ended 4-1. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.
The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.78. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.23. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.
Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.