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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Sardarapat 🟡 Draws Alashkert 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Sardarapat

Date Match Score Res
09.09.2026 Sardarapat - Pyunik Yerevan 2 - 4 L
06.09.2026 Shirak - Sardarapat 2 - 0 L
31.08.2026 Sardarapat - Syunik 3 - 1 W
27.08.2026 Sardarapat - Syunik 1 - 1 D
23.08.2026 Ararat-Armenia - Sardarapat 1 - 1 D

📆 Latest Matches: Alashkert

Date Match Score Res
03.09.2026 Alashkert - Van 4 - 0 W
28.08.2026 FC Urartu - Alashkert 1 - 1 D
21.08.2026 Alashkert - Gandzasar 3 - 0 W
17.08.2026 FC Noah - Alashkert 1 - 0 L
10.08.2026 Alashkert - BKMA 3 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Sardarapat and Alashkert is scheduled for 13.09.2026 12:00 in Premier League. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sardarapat are in position 6 with 10 points after 6 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDW. Alashkert are in position 4 with 13 points after 6 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLW.

Recent results

Sardarapat recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDDWWDDD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Alashkert recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWWLDDD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Alashkert to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 16.17%, 21.18% and 62.65%. The model momentum difference is 46.47 points in favour of Alashkert. The input data quality score is 90/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.04%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sardarapat +0.25 / Alashkert -0.25 supports Sardarapat by an average 1.14 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sardarapat at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 4 of 6 completed matches (66.7% coverage). The discipline profile for Alashkert away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 5 of 6 completed matches (83.3% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-13 11:30:05 · Locked: 2026-09-13 13:40:14

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Sardarapat and Alashkert ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sardarapat at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Sardarapat received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Alashkert away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Alashkert received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sardarapat at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.14 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-13 16:24:11
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