Match context

The upcoming match between Plaza Amador and UMECIT is scheduled for 23.08.2026 23:15 in Liga Panameña de Fútbol. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Plaza Amador are in position 2 with 7 points after 21 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWD. UMECIT are in position 9 with 3 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDD.

Recent results

Plaza Amador recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLDLWD. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. UMECIT recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLDLDLD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and UMECIT recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Plaza Amador or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.45%, 24.74% and 17.81%. The model momentum difference is 39.64 points in favour of Plaza Amador. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.77%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Plaza Amador at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.22 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 55.6%, 11.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 17 of 20 completed matches (85.0% coverage). The discipline profile for UMECIT away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 4.29 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 4.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1% and 57.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 14 of 19 completed matches (73.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Plaza Amador and UMECIT ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Plaza Amador at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.22 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, Plaza Amador received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UMECIT away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 4.29 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 4.57 total cards per match. In this game, UMECIT received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 2.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 71.4% of matches, 5+ in 57.1%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.