Match context

The upcoming match between Sporting San Miguelito and Herrera is scheduled for 30.08.2026 23:15 in Liga Panameña de Fútbol. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sporting San Miguelito are in position 9 with 5 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLD. Herrera are in position 8 with 5 points after 18 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLDW.

Recent results

Sporting San Miguelito recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLDLWDDW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Herrera recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLDWLLDLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting San Miguelito recorded 4 wins, there were 6 draws, and Herrera recorded 0 wins. The average total was 1.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 30%; Both teams to score — 20%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sporting San Miguelito or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 53.70%, 26.37% and 19.93%. The model momentum difference is 33.77 points in favour of Sporting San Miguelito. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.32%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sporting San Miguelito at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 4.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 50.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 14 completed matches (50.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Herrera away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.43 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 16 of 19 completed matches (84.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sporting San Miguelito and Herrera ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.