Match context

The upcoming match between Sportivo Trinidense and Club Sp. San Lorenzo is scheduled for 03.08.2026 19:00 in Division Profesional - Clausura. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sportivo Trinidense are in position 2 with 6 points after 2 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WW. Club Sp. San Lorenzo are in position 10 with 1 points after 2 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is LD.

Recent results

Sportivo Trinidense recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWLLLWDW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Club Sp. San Lorenzo recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDWLLLDD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense recorded 1 wins, there were 4 draws, and Club Sp. San Lorenzo recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.89 goals per match. Both teams scored in 55.6% of those matches, while 44.4% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.44; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 99%; over 9.5 corners — 89%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sportivo Trinidense to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.07%, 25.30% and 13.62%. The model momentum difference is 47.45 points in favour of Sportivo Trinidense. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.44%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sportivo Trinidense 0 / Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0 supports Sportivo Trinidense by an average 1.31 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.33, score 74/100, 74.26% bucket win rate across 136 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between Sportivo Trinidense and Club Sp. San Lorenzo ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.89 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sportivo Trinidense at 0. The stored market movement was 1.31 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.33. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.