Match context

The upcoming match between LDU de Quito and Leones del Norte is scheduled for 30.07.2026 20:00 in Copa Ecuador. The listed venue is Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

LDU de Quito recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLLDDLWDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Leones del Norte recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDWWDLLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, LDU de Quito recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Leones del Norte recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 90%; Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as LDU de Quito or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.42%, 27.63% and 17.96%. The model momentum difference is 36.46 points in favour of LDU de Quito. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -8.93%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair LDU de Quito 0 / Leones del Norte 0 supports LDU de Quito by an average 6.65 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between LDU de Quito and Leones del Norte ended 6-0. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported LDU de Quito at 0. The stored market movement was 6.65 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 6-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.