Match context

The upcoming match between Matagalpa and Managua is scheduled for 10.08.2026 01:00 in Primera Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Matagalpa are in position 10 with 0 points after 3 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 1 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLL. Managua are in position 1 with 9 points after 3 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 9 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWW.

Recent results

Matagalpa recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWLLWDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Managua recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWLWDWD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Managua recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Managua (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.95%, 23.94% and 56.11%. The model momentum difference is 36.16 points in favour of Managua. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.34%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 76/100, 75.58% bucket win rate across 344 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Matagalpa and Managua ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.