Match context

The upcoming match between FC 08 Homburg and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. is scheduled for 03.10.2026 12:00 in Regionalliga - SudWest. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC 08 Homburg are in position 7 with 14 points after 9 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWWD. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. are in position 17 with 5 points after 9 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

FC 08 Homburg recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWWDLWLWW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDDLWD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, FC 08 Homburg recorded 1 wins, there were 5 draws, and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.88 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 37.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC 08 Homburg to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.45%, 17.93% and 16.62%. The model momentum difference is 48.83 points in favour of FC 08 Homburg. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.46 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -4.44%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between FC 08 Homburg and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.88 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 62.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.