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| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10.03.2026 | Merthyr Town - Chester | 1 : 2 |
| 04.10.2025 | Chester - Merthyr Town | 2 : 2 |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.2026 | Hebburn Town - Chester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31.08.2026 | Chester - Morecambe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29.08.2026 | Hereford - Chester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22.08.2026 | Chester - Spalding United | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18.08.2026 | Darlington 1883 - Chester | 0 - 1 | W |
| Date | Match | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.2026 | Merthyr Town - Macclesfield | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31.08.2026 | Buxton - Merthyr Town | 2 - 1 | L |
| 29.08.2026 | Merthyr Town - Chorley | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22.08.2026 | South Shields - Merthyr Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18.08.2026 | Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United | 2 - 2 | D |
The upcoming match between Chester and Merthyr Town is scheduled for 08.09.2026 18:45 in National League - North. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.
Standings and season form
Chester are in position 4 with 14 points after 1 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 1 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLDWW. Merthyr Town are in position 14 with 9 points. The stored form sequence is WLDDD.
Chester recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDWWWWDWW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Merthyr Town recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDDDLWLWL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.
Across the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chester recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Merthyr Town recorded 0 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.
The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.
The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Chester or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.93%, 24.19% and 19.89%. The model momentum difference is 36.04 points in favour of Chester. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.27%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.
The normalized movement for the Asian pair Chester -1.5 / Merthyr Town +1.5 supports Merthyr Town by an average 3.97 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.
1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 3.5 (odds 1.44, score 96/100, 95% bucket win rate across 20 observations).
The discipline profile for Merthyr Town away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 7 completed matches (14.3% coverage).
The match between Chester and Merthyr Town ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.
Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.
The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Merthyr Town at +1.5. The stored market movement was 3.97 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.
Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.