Match context

The upcoming match between Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch is scheduled for 25.10.2026 15:00 in National Division. The listed venue is Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Swift Hesperange are in position 16 after 10 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 38 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL. AS Jeunesse Esch are in position 11 with 10 points after 10 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLW.

Recent results

Swift Hesperange recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLLLLL. The averages are 0.30 goals scored and 3.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. AS Jeunesse Esch recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLWWLLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange recorded 6 wins, there were 3 draws, and AS Jeunesse Esch recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.94; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 94%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as AS Jeunesse Esch to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 9.46%, 15.63% and 74.91%. The model momentum difference is 65.44 points in favour of AS Jeunesse Esch. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.11%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for AS Jeunesse Esch away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 10 completed matches (10.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.