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4
🏟 New Central Park , Kelty
✔ Full Time
3

🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Kelty Hearts 🟡 Draws Motherwell U21 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Kelty Hearts

Date Match Score Res
08.08.2026 Kelty Hearts - Stirling Albion 3 - 2 W
01.08.2026 Forfar Athletic - Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 L
25.07.2026 Aberdeen - Kelty Hearts 3 - 0 L
21.07.2026 Kelty Hearts - Brora Rangers 3 - 2 W
14.07.2026 Kelty Hearts - Queen's Park 0 - 2 L

📆 Latest Matches: Motherwell U21

Date Match Score Res
11.11.2025 Queen of the South - Motherwell U21 3 - 1 L
11.10.2025 Stenhousemuir - Motherwell U21 4 - 0 L
23.09.2025 Stranraer - Motherwell U21 3 - 0 L
06.09.2025 Clyde - Motherwell U21 4 - 0 L
26.08.2025 East Kilbride - Motherwell U21 3 - 1 L

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Kelty Hearts and Motherwell U21 is scheduled for 11.08.2026 18:45 in Challenge Cup. The listed venue is New Central Park, Kelty. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Kelty Hearts recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWLDLLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Motherwell U21 recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 8 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLDDD. The averages are 0.25 goals scored and 2.13 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 62.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kelty Hearts to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 66.73%, 18.15% and 15.12%. The model momentum difference is 51.60 points in favour of Kelty Hearts. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.36 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.25%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Generated: 2026-08-10 20:45:03 · Locked: 2026-08-11 20:25:03

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Kelty Hearts and Motherwell U21 ended 4-3. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-11 22:36:02
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