Match context

The upcoming match between CSF Bălți and Sheriff Tiraspol is scheduled for 02.08.2026 17:00 in Super Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
CSF Bălți are in position 7 with 4 points after 5 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 10 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDLW. Sheriff Tiraspol are in position 1 with 10 points after 5 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDW.

Recent results

CSF Bălți recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLWDLLWD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sheriff Tiraspol recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLWWWDDWW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, CSF Bălți recorded 1 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sheriff Tiraspol recorded 8 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sheriff Tiraspol to win with 86% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 4.44%, 9.31% and 86.25%. The model momentum difference is 81.81 points in favour of Sheriff Tiraspol. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.08 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.85%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair CSF Bălți 0 / Sheriff Tiraspol 0 supports Sheriff Tiraspol by an average 2.44 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 2.39).

What happened in the match

The match between CSF Bălți and Sheriff Tiraspol ended 1-5. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sheriff Tiraspol at 0. The stored market movement was 2.44 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-5, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.39. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.