Match context

The upcoming match between Sheriff Tiraspol and Dacia-Buiucani is scheduled for 09.08.2026 17:00 in Super Liga. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sheriff Tiraspol are in position 1 with 10 points after 6 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDW. Dacia-Buiucani are in position 2 with 9 points after 6 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWL.

Recent results

Sheriff Tiraspol recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLWWWDD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Dacia-Buiucani recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWLDLLL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sheriff Tiraspol recorded 9 wins, there were 1 draws, and Dacia-Buiucani recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sheriff Tiraspol to win with 73% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.20%, 16.64% and 10.17%. The model momentum difference is 63.03 points in favour of Sheriff Tiraspol. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.25 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.50%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Sheriff Tiraspol and Dacia-Buiucani ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.