Match context

The upcoming match between Union Comercio and Academia Cantolao is scheduled for 07.08.2026 20:15 in Segunda División. The listed venue is Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García, Tarapoto. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Union Comercio are in position 3 with 18 points after 9 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 2 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWDD. Academia Cantolao are in position 8 with 5 points after 10 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL.

Recent results

Union Comercio recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWWWDDLW. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Academia Cantolao recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWLLLLLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Union Comercio recorded 8 wins, there were 1 draws, and Academia Cantolao recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Union Comercio to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 69.85%, 19.71% and 10.44%. The model momentum difference is 59.41 points in favour of Union Comercio. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.27 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.29%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Union Comercio 0 / Academia Cantolao 0 supports Union Comercio by an average 4.25 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.82). At least one goal in the match (quota 11.80, score 86/100, 86.14% group success rate across 101 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Union Comercio and Academia Cantolao ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Union Comercio at 0. The stored market movement was 4.25 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.82. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 11.8. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.