Match context

The upcoming match between Cesar Vallejo and Molinos El Pirata is scheduled for 09.08.2026 18:15 in Segunda División. The listed venue is Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Cesar Vallejo are in position 7 with 11 points after 9 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLLW. Molinos El Pirata are in position 2 with 19 points after 9 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLW.

Recent results

Cesar Vallejo recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLLDDLLWL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Molinos El Pirata recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWWLWWW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesar Vallejo recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Molinos El Pirata recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Cesar Vallejo or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 59.78%, 23.91% and 16.30%. The model momentum difference is 43.48 points in favour of Cesar Vallejo. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.93%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Cesar Vallejo 0 / Molinos El Pirata 0 supports Cesar Vallejo by an average 4.86 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Cesar Vallejo and Molinos El Pirata ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Cesar Vallejo at 0. The stored market movement was 4.86 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.