Match context

The upcoming match between Needham Market and Leighton Town is scheduled for 27.10.2026 19:45 in Non League Premier - Southern Central. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Needham Market are in position 5 with 23 points after 13 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDL. Leighton Town are in position 21 with 5 points after 12 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL.

Recent results

Needham Market recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWDLWWLD. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Leighton Town recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLLLLLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Needham Market to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.10%, 21.18% and 18.73%. The model momentum difference is 41.37 points in favour of Needham Market. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.06%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Needham Market and Leighton Town ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.