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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Bath City 🟡 Draws Malvern Town 🔴
Date Match Score
29.09.2026 Bath City - Malvern Town 2 : 1

🗓 Latest Matches: Bath City

Date Match Score Res
24.10.2026 Bath City - Frome Town 0 - 0 D
20.10.2026 Bath City - Havant & Wville 1 - 0 W
17.10.2026 Gloucester City - Bath City 0 - 0 D
17.10.2026 Hanwell Town - Bath City 0 - 2 W
13.10.2026 Evesham United - Bath City 0 - 2 W

📆 Latest Matches: Malvern Town

Date Match Score Res
20.10.2026 Uxbridge - Malvern Town 3 - 0 L
17.10.2026 Malvern Town - Frome Town 2 - 0 W
13.10.2026 Malvern Town - Yate Town 3 - 2 W
10.10.2026 Basingstoke Town - Malvern Town 4 - 1 L
03.10.2026 Malvern Town - Hanworth Villa 0 - 0 D

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Bath City and Malvern Town is scheduled for 29.09.2026 18:45 in Non League Premier - Southern South. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bath City are in position 5 with 14 points after 8 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLLD. Malvern Town are in position 21 with 5 points after 8 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL.

Recent results

Bath City recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWLLLDWDW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Malvern Town recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLDLLLDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bath City to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.67%, 21.29% and 17.03%. The model momentum difference is 44.64 points in favour of Bath City. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.57%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bath City 0 / Malvern Town 0 supports Bath City by an average 2.67 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (1xBet) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.65). At least one goal in the match (quota 14.50, score 87/100, 86.79% group success rate across 53 observations).

Generated: 2026-09-28 20:45:04 · Locked: 2026-09-29 20:25:07

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Bath City and Malvern Town ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bath City at 0. The stored market movement was 2.67 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.65. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 14.5. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-29 22:41:08
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