Match context

The upcoming match between CF Os Belenenses and União Santarém is scheduled for 22.08.2026 10:00 in Liga 3. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

CF Os Belenenses recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLLDLWWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. União Santarém recorded 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDLDDDLL. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, CF Os Belenenses recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and União Santarém recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as CF Os Belenenses or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.77%, 26.07% and 19.16%. The model momentum difference is 35.60 points in favour of CF Os Belenenses. The input data quality score is 83/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -5.42%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for CF Os Belenenses at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 2 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between CF Os Belenenses and União Santarém ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.33 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for CF Os Belenenses at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, CF Os Belenenses received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.