Match context

The upcoming match between ADR Jicaral and AD Cofutpa is scheduled for 04.10.2026 17:00 in Liga de Ascenso. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
ADR Jicaral are in position 3 with 18 points after 8 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWW. AD Cofutpa are in position 14 with 4 points after 8 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDL.

Recent results

ADR Jicaral recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDWWWDWDL. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals. AD Cofutpa recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLDLLLLLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, ADR Jicaral recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and AD Cofutpa recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as ADR Jicaral to win with 73% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 72.68%, 16.89% and 10.43%. The model momentum difference is 62.25 points in favour of ADR Jicaral. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -11.33%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for ADR Jicaral at home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 1 of 8 completed matches (12.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between ADR Jicaral and AD Cofutpa ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for ADR Jicaral at home was based on 1 matches, with averages of 0 yellow cards, 1 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, ADR Jicaral received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 100%.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.