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L L W L ?
0
🏟 ASK Arena , Baku
✔ Full Time
3
W W W ? ?

🔁 Head-to-Head

0
0
0
🟢 Safa Baku 🟡 Draws Sabah FA 🔴
Date Match Score

🗓 Latest Matches: Safa Baku

Date Match Score Res
05.09.2026 Neftchi Baku - Safa Baku 4 - 1 L
29.08.2026 Safa Baku - Mil-Muğan 0 - 1 L
22.08.2026 Qabala - Safa Baku 0 - 1 W
16.08.2026 Zira - Safa Baku 2 - 0 L
22.05.2026 Zaqatala - Safa Baku 2 - 1 L

📆 Latest Matches: Sabah FA

Date Match Score Res
10.09.2026 Manchester United - Sabah FA 4 - 0 L
05.09.2026 Sabah FA - Zira 5 - 0 W
31.08.2026 Araz - Sabah FA 0 - 1 W
25.08.2026 Sabah FA - Hapoel Beer Sheva 5 - 2 W
22.08.2026 Sabah FA - Sumqayıt -

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Safa Baku and Sabah FA is scheduled for 14.09.2026 15:00 in Premyer Liqa. The listed venue is ASK Arena, Baku. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Safa Baku are in position 10 with 3 points after 4 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 2 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWL. Sabah FA are in position 2 with 9 points after 3 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 0 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWW.

Recent results

Safa Baku recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLWDDWD. The averages are 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sabah FA recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWLLWLWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sabah FA to win with 67% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 12.79%, 19.90% and 67.31%. The model momentum difference is 54.53 points in favour of Sabah FA. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.47%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Safa Baku +0.25 / Sabah FA -0.25 supports Sabah FA by an average 2.46 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 81/100, 80.93% bucket win rate across 624 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 15, score 80/100, 80.04% group success rate across 3191 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sabah FA away from home is based on 1 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 2 of 3 completed matches (66.7% coverage).

Generated: 2026-09-13 20:02:38 · Locked: 2026-09-14 17:02:56

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Safa Baku and Sabah FA ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sabah FA at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.46 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 15. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-09-14 18:51:23
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