Match context

The upcoming match between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm is scheduled for 11.09.2026 18:00 in Pro League. The listed venue is King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Al-Ahli Jeddah are in position 9 with 9 points after 6 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW. Al-Hazm are in position 10 with 8 points after 6 matches. The season record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 6 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLL.

Recent results

Al-Ahli Jeddah recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWWWWDL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Al-Hazm recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLLWWWLD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Jeddah recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and Al-Hazm recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.40; over 7.5 corners — 99%; over 8.5 corners — 87%; over 9.5 corners — 78%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with 74% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 73.67%, 16.34% and 9.99%. The model momentum difference is 63.69 points in favour of Al-Ahli Jeddah. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.12%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 / Al-Hazm 0 supports Al-Ahli Jeddah by an average 1.47 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Al-Ahli Jeddah at home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 1.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 6 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Al-Hazm away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 3.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 100.0%, 33.3% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 6 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 7.4 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 99%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 87%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 78%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Al-Ahli Jeddah at home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 1.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.5 total cards per match. In this game, Al-Ahli Jeddah received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Al-Hazm away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 3.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. In this game, Al-Hazm received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 100% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Al-Ahli Jeddah at 0. The stored market movement was 1.47 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.