Match context

The upcoming match between Puebla W and Tijuana W is scheduled for 17.10.2026 18:00 in Liga MX Femenil. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Puebla W are in position 17 with 3 points after 10 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLL. Tijuana W are in position 14 with 9 points after 10 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLW.

Recent results

Puebla W recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLWLLLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 3.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Tijuana W recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWLLWLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Puebla W recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Tijuana W recorded 6 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Tijuana W to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 14.39%, 17.99% and 67.62%. The model momentum difference is 53.23 points in favour of Tijuana W. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.33 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.06%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Puebla W at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 8 of 10 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Tijuana W away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 10 completed matches (70.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Puebla W and Tijuana W ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Puebla W at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.2 total cards per match. In this game, Puebla W received 5 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.8 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Tijuana W away from home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Tijuana W received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.