Match context

The upcoming match between Pumas UNAM W and Atlas W is scheduled for 18.10.2026 18:00 in Liga MX Femenil. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Pumas UNAM W are in position 10 with 13 points after 10 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWLL. Atlas W are in position 12 with 12 points after 9 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 10 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLL.

Recent results

Pumas UNAM W recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWLLWWLWL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atlas W recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLLWDDLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pumas UNAM W recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and Atlas W recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Pumas UNAM W to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 74.51%, 15.55% and 9.94%. The model momentum difference is 64.58 points in favour of Pumas UNAM W. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.20 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.58%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Pumas UNAM W 0 / Atlas W 0 supports Pumas UNAM W by an average 7.38 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 83.85% group success rate across 1461 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Pumas UNAM W at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 50.0%. Season card data is available for 6 of 10 completed matches (60.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Atlas W away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.40 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 7 of 9 completed matches (77.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Pumas UNAM W and Atlas W ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Pumas UNAM W at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Pumas UNAM W received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.75 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 50%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atlas W away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.4 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.4 total cards per match. In this game, Atlas W received 6 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 7 in total. That was 5.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Pumas UNAM W at 0. The stored market movement was 7.38 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.