Match context

The upcoming match between Gama and Sao Jose is scheduled for 16.08.2026 19:00 in Serie D. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Gama are in position 1 with 26 points after 16 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWW. Sao Jose are in position 4 with 13 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 12 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDW.

Recent results

Gama recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLWLWWDWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sao Jose recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWDWDDWWD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 1 head-to-head matches, Gama recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sao Jose recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Gama or draw (1X) with 86% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.04%, 28.12% and 13.84%. The model momentum difference is 44.20 points in favour of Gama. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.06 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.67%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Gama 0 / Sao Jose 0 supports Gama by an average 2.22 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sao Jose away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 0.00 yellow cards, 1.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 0.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 100.0%. Season card data is available for 3 of 16 completed matches (18.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Gama and Sao Jose ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Gama at 0. The stored market movement was 2.22 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 4-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.