Match context

The upcoming match between Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca is scheduled for 06.09.2026 16:00 in 1. Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Nea Salamis are in position 7 with 1 points. The stored form sequence is D. AEK Larnaca are in position 5 with 3 points. The stored form sequence is W.

Recent results

Nea Salamis recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWWWLWDW. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. AEK Larnaca recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLDLLWWD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or AEK Larnaca (X2) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.43%, 24.62% and 55.95%. The model momentum difference is 36.51 points in favour of AEK Larnaca. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.16%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Nea Salamis -0.5 / AEK Larnaca +0.5 supports Nea Salamis by an average 1.15 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

What happened in the match

The match between Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca ended 1-4. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Nea Salamis at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.15 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-4, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 5 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.