Match context

The upcoming match between Bayer Leverkusen and Genk is scheduled for 29.07.2026 13:00 in Friendlies Clubs. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Bayer Leverkusen recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLWWLLWW. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Genk recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLWWDWDD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bayer Leverkusen to win with 61% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.96%, 20.05% and 18.99%. The model momentum difference is 41.96 points in favour of Bayer Leverkusen. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.78%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Under 0.5 (odds 19, score 82/100, 81.85% bucket win rate across 1201 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Bayer Leverkusen and Genk ended 4-0. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal at odds of 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 1 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.