Match context

The upcoming match between Grosseto and San Donato Tavarnelle is scheduled for 29.07.2026 15:30 in Friendlies Clubs. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Recent results

Grosseto recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLLDDDWD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. San Donato Tavarnelle recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWDLLLDL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grosseto recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and San Donato Tavarnelle recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 16.7% of those matches, while 33.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Grosseto or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 53.99%, 26.23% and 19.78%. The model momentum difference is 34.21 points in favour of Grosseto. The input data quality score is 88/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.16 with 1xBet. The stored estimated EV is -6.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Grosseto and San Donato Tavarnelle ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.67 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 83.3%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 6 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Summary

Of 3 verifiable pre-match indicators, 0 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.