Match context

The upcoming match between Alvarado and Huracan Las Heras is scheduled for 12.08.2026 18:30 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Alvarado are in position 5 with 27 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWD. Huracan Las Heras are in position 19 with 23 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWLW.

Recent results

Alvarado recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWDWDWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Huracan Las Heras recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDWWLWLWL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Alvarado or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.77%, 26.72% and 16.51%. The model momentum difference is 40.26 points in favour of Alvarado. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Alvarado -0.5 / Huracan Las Heras +0.5 supports Huracan Las Heras by an average 1.80 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

What happened in the match

The match between Alvarado and Huracan Las Heras ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Huracan Las Heras at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.8 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.