Match context

The upcoming match between Kimberley Mar del Plata and Cipolletti is scheduled for 16.08.2026 18:00 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kimberley Mar del Plata are in position 8 with 26 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWDD. Cipolletti are in position 12 with 25 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 20 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWL.

Recent results

Kimberley Mar del Plata recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWDDLWD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Cipolletti recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWDDWLWL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kimberley Mar del Plata recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Cipolletti recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.43 goals per match. Both teams scored in 14.3% of those matches, while 14.3% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw (1X) with 86% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.58%, 30.01% and 14.41%. The model momentum difference is 41.17 points in favour of Kimberley Mar del Plata. The input data quality score is 94/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.08 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.56%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kimberley Mar del Plata 0 / Cipolletti 0 supports Kimberley Mar del Plata by an average 2.62 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 9 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kimberley Mar del Plata at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 1.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 25.0%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 18 completed matches (55.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Cipolletti away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 4.00 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 4.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 33.3%. Season card data is available for 10 of 19 completed matches (52.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kimberley Mar del Plata and Cipolletti ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.43 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kimberley Mar del Plata at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 1.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. In this game, Kimberley Mar del Plata received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cipolletti away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 4 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 4.5 total cards per match. In this game, Cipolletti received 6 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 6 in total. That was 1.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 83.3% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 33.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kimberley Mar del Plata at 0. The stored market movement was 2.62 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.