Match context

The upcoming match between Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Kimberley Mar del Plata is scheduled for 23.08.2026 18:30 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca are in position 1 with 31 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 8 draws and 1 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 4 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDD. Kimberley Mar del Plata are in position 8 with 26 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 16 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWDD.

Recent results

Olimpo Bahia Blanca recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDWWDDDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals. Kimberley Mar del Plata recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDWWDDLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Olimpo Bahia Blanca recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Kimberley Mar del Plata recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw (1X) with 86% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.72%, 27.96% and 14.32%. The model momentum difference is 43.41 points in favour of Olimpo Bahia Blanca. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.08 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Olimpo Bahia Blanca -0.25 / Kimberley Mar del Plata +0.25 supports Olimpo Bahia Blanca by an average 2.95 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Olimpo Bahia Blanca at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 37.5%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 20 completed matches (80.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Kimberley Mar del Plata away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 3.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 83.3%, 50.0% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 19 completed matches (57.9% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Kimberley Mar del Plata ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Olimpo Bahia Blanca at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Olimpo Bahia Blanca received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kimberley Mar del Plata away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 3.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3.67 total cards per match. In this game, Kimberley Mar del Plata received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.67 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 83.3% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Olimpo Bahia Blanca at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.95 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.