Match context

The upcoming match between Sportivo Belgrano and Bartolomé Mitre is scheduled for 30.08.2026 19:05 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sportivo Belgrano are in position 3 with 30 points after 19 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 10 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 9 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDDD. Bartolomé Mitre are in position 9 with 26 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDD.

Recent results

Sportivo Belgrano recorded 0 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDDDDDDD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bartolomé Mitre recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLWLDDW. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sportivo Belgrano or draw (1X) with 84% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 55.03%, 28.76% and 16.21%. The model momentum difference is 38.82 points in favour of Sportivo Belgrano. The input data quality score is 87/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.10 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sportivo Belgrano -0.25 / Bartolomé Mitre +0.25 supports Bartolomé Mitre by an average 2.53 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sportivo Belgrano at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 66.7%, 50.0%, 33.3% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 21 completed matches (57.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Bartolomé Mitre away from home is based on 2 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 9 of 20 completed matches (45.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sportivo Belgrano and Bartolomé Mitre ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sportivo Belgrano at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Sportivo Belgrano received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bartolomé Mitre away from home was based on 2 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Bartolomé Mitre received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bartolomé Mitre at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2.53 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.