Match context

The upcoming match between Villa Mitre and Huracan Las Heras is scheduled for 30.08.2026 18:30 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Villa Mitre are in position 16 with 23 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 8 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWW. Huracan Las Heras are in position 19 with 23 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 11 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWLW.

Recent results

Villa Mitre recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLDWDWDWW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Huracan Las Heras recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLDWWLWL. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Huracan Las Heras recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.86 goals per match. Both teams scored in 57.1% of those matches, while 57.1% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 100%; Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 20%; Over 1.5 goals — 20%; Both teams to score — 10%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Villa Mitre or draw (1X) with 83% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 54.16%, 28.82% and 17.02%. The model momentum difference is 37.14 points in favour of Villa Mitre. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.89%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Villa Mitre -0.5 / Huracan Las Heras +0.5 supports Huracan Las Heras by an average 1.10 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 2 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 2.30).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Villa Mitre at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 21 completed matches (71.4% coverage). The discipline profile for Huracan Las Heras away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.67 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 66.7%. Season card data is available for 12 of 20 completed matches (60.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Villa Mitre and Huracan Las Heras ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.86 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 57.1%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Villa Mitre at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. In this game, Villa Mitre received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.29 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Huracan Las Heras away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.67 red cards and 3.17 total cards per match. In this game, Huracan Las Heras received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.17 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 66.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Huracan Las Heras at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.1 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.3. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.