Match context

The upcoming match between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Bartolomé Mitre is scheduled for 13.09.2026 20:00 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
9 de Julio Rafaela are in position 14 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLWW. Bartolomé Mitre are in position 9 with 26 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 7 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLDD.

Recent results

9 de Julio Rafaela recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWDDLLLW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Bartolomé Mitre recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDLLWLD. The averages are 0.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as 9 de Julio Rafaela to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 68.48%, 23.43% and 8.09%. The model momentum difference is 60.39 points in favour of 9 de Julio Rafaela. The input data quality score is 91/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.98%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

A current confirmed reversal signal is stored for Home -1. It is a market indicator rather than a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for 9 de Julio Rafaela at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.78 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.89 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 55.6%, 44.4%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 15 of 24 completed matches (62.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Bartolomé Mitre away from home is based on 3 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 22 completed matches (50.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Bartolomé Mitre ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for 9 de Julio Rafaela at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.78 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.89 total cards per match. In this game, 9 de Julio Rafaela received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.89 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bartolomé Mitre away from home was based on 3 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Bartolomé Mitre received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported 9 de Julio Rafaela at -1. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.