Match context

The upcoming match between Atenas and Juventud Antoniana is scheduled for 13.09.2026 19:30 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Atenas are in position 18 with 23 points after 16 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 12 scored and 13 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDLWD. Juventud Antoniana are in position 11 with 25 points after 16 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 11 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDWD.

Recent results

Atenas recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDWWLDDLW. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Juventud Antoniana recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLDWWDW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Atenas to win with 62% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 61.72%, 26.87% and 11.42%. The model momentum difference is 50.30 points in favour of Atenas. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.48 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.66%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Atenas 0 / Juventud Antoniana 0 supports Atenas by an average 5.61 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Combo (BTTS Yes + Over 2.5) — Yes (odds 3.25, score 73/100, 72.97% bucket win rate across 37 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atenas at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.13 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 37.5%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 12 of 22 completed matches (54.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Juventud Antoniana away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.14 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 42.9%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 14 of 22 completed matches (63.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Atenas and Juventud Antoniana ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atenas at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.13 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. In this game, Atenas received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.38 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Juventud Antoniana away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.14 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.43 total cards per match. In this game, Juventud Antoniana received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.57 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 28.6%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atenas at 0. The stored market movement was 5.61 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5 at odds of 3.25. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes + Over 2.5. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.