Match context

The upcoming match between Costa Brava and Guillermo Brown is scheduled for 16.08.2026 14:00 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Costa Brava are in position 27 with 18 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 14 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDW. Guillermo Brown are in position 34 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL.

Recent results

Costa Brava recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDDLLWDWDW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Guillermo Brown recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLWLWLLDD. The averages are 0.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Costa Brava or draw (1X) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 52.96%, 29.04% and 18.00%. The model momentum difference is 34.95 points in favour of Costa Brava. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.11 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.99%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Costa Brava 0 / Guillermo Brown 0 supports Costa Brava by an average 1.28 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 2.30).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Costa Brava at home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 12 of 17 completed matches (70.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Guillermo Brown away from home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.60 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 19 completed matches (52.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Costa Brava and Guillermo Brown ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Costa Brava at home was based on 4 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Costa Brava received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Guillermo Brown away from home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.6 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.6 total cards per match. In this game, Guillermo Brown received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Costa Brava at 0. The stored market movement was 1.28 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.3. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.