Match context

The upcoming match between San Martín Mendoza and Deportivo Rincon is scheduled for 16.08.2026 20:00 in Torneo Federal A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
San Martín Mendoza are in position 23 with 19 points after 17 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 13 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWLW. Deportivo Rincon are in position 22 with 19 points after 17 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 15 scored and 16 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLLL.

Recent results

San Martín Mendoza recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDDWLWDW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Deportivo Rincon recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWLLLLWL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Martín Mendoza recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and Deportivo Rincon recorded 2 wins. The average total was 1.33 goals per match. Both teams scored in 0% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Both teams to score — 30%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as San Martín Mendoza or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 50.01%, 31.04% and 18.95%. The model momentum difference is 31.06 points in favour of San Martín Mendoza. The input data quality score is 95/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.12 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.22%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair San Martín Mendoza 0 / Deportivo Rincon 0 supports San Martín Mendoza by an average 4.88 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for San Martín Mendoza at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 1.80 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 40.0%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 11 of 19 completed matches (57.9% coverage). The discipline profile for Deportivo Rincon away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 3.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 3.43 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 42.9% and 42.9% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 10 of 19 completed matches (52.6% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between San Martín Mendoza and Deportivo Rincon ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.33 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Martín Mendoza at home was based on 5 matches, with averages of 1.8 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, San Martín Mendoza received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Deportivo Rincon away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 3.29 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 3.43 total cards per match. In this game, Deportivo Rincon received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 2.43 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 42.9%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Martín Mendoza at 0. The stored market movement was 4.88 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 0 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.